View from the BaDMaN Boot Room - GW 16

Friday, December 7 2018

 

Having been in the betting business for 20-odd years, I am well-versed in the sanctimonious posturing and double-speak within the industry. But when the government get involved they take it to another level…

The current hoopla about tackling ‘problem gambling’ has all parties making big claims. Deputy Labour leader Tom Watson talks of a ‘public health emergency’… Conservative vice chairman Chris Skidmore wants ‘tighter rules on advertising’…

The upshot?

A 1% kickback, er, sorry… levy about £140 million a year. And a ban on the phrase ‘Bet Now’. 

Fact. 

Check out Bet365’s professional geezer Ray Winstone’s sign-offs. ‘Bet naaah!’ has been replaced with ‘bet responsibly’. 

And that, brothers and sisters, is the deal. Already done and dusted.

Now then…

Goalkeeper

Total Pts

GW 15 Pts

Alisson (LIV)

75

3

Defenders

 

 

Alonso (CHE)

93

0

Robertson (LIV)

84

0

van Dijk (LIV)

74

5

Alexander-Arnold (LIV)

73

0

Midfielders

 

 

Sterling (MC)

104

0

Hazard (CHE)

94

5

Salah (LIV)

90

4

Fraser (BOU)

86

12

Forwards

 

 

Aubameyang (ARS)

93

2

Wilson (BOU)

92

12

 

All change please, all change

Alisson (LIV) has been steadily stalking Ederson (MC) for a few weeks with three sheets in his last four. And now finally gets his big, webbed gloves on the No 1 spot. He is emerging as arguably Jurgen Klopp’s most important signing. I say ‘arguably’ because the loudest protest in that particular debate is likely to come from van Dijk – our second debutant of the week.

He is flanked by full-backs Alexander-Arnold and Robertson – even though the latter didn’t even play midweek. Which neatly tells the story of Liverpool’s evolution this season. If they end up going the distance with City it will be down to their rear-guard as much as the fabled Fab Three.   

For Fraser’s sake, pick Ryan

Fraser (BOU) has clambered back into the midfield four – where he has been for much of the season. But he still only figures in 27.5% of FPL teams! C’mon now, people. I could understand if he was trading in the double-figure millions or had an off-putting tattoo on his lower leg. But I understand all of Ryan’s ink is very tasteful (he has a barbed-wire ring around his upper arm and Wylie Coyote on his hip). This boy is worth £6.3m of anyone’s (not even real) money.

Sterling (MC) looks the big money pick of the moment. Salah (LIV) hasn’t had his best spell of the season so far, but I’m starting to think that Hazard (CHE) – and maybe his team mates - might have.  

Callum Wilson said I’m in the X1

Sticking with Bournemouth, England’s newest cap Wilson has kicked on apace since making his International bow. Five goals in six matches – and a two-match of Aguero (MC) – has kept Callum ahead of a litany of more glamorous names. But just behind one of the most spectacularly named…

Aubameyang (ARS) carries a hefty tag - £11.3m is joint most expensive, alongside Aguero and behind only Kane (TOT) – but is delivering, alright. Glad he has sorted that hair out too.  

‘Arry will keep grinding away, or course. And Lacazette (ARS) is a cheaper alternative, but they five mentioned look like the pick unless Mitrovic (FUL) and Jimenez (WOL) do something exceptional in the second half of the season.

The Watch List: Best of the rest...

If you haven’t got, or can’t get, or don’t fancy any of the above – this lot are handy alternatives. 
GK: Ederson (MC) – Still the most popular in the FPL marketplace.  
DEF: Doherty (WOL) – A goal and an assist in his last two. Solid outside-big-six-bet.  
MID: Sane (MC) – Four goals and four assist in his last five. Back in business.   
FOR: Lacazette (ARS) – Can have an impact even from the bench.  

Play now. Sorry, play responsibly.

Matt Nesbitt

View from the BaDMaN Boot Room - GW 14

Friday, November 30 2018

 

Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha Robbie Savage has his mum on his radio show ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha she’s predicting the scores ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha that’s not what you’d expect from someone’s mum HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA and she calls him ‘Poppet’ HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA no wonder he is a genius.

Or perhaps he’s just a waste of organs. Not sure.

Anyway…

Goalkeeper

Total Pts

GW 13 Pts

Ederson (MC)

68

6

Defenders

 

 

Alonso (CHE)

87

1

Robertson (LIV)

78

7

Alexander-Arnold (LIV)

65

7

Laporte (MC)

64

6

Midfielders

 

 

Sterling (MC)

95

16

Hazard (CHE)

83

1

Salah (LIV)

83

8

Mane (LIV)

77

9

Forwards

 

 

Aguero (MC)

82

2

Aubameyang (ARS)

75

8

 

Look North By North West in goal…

Scouse pair Alisson (LIV) and Pickford (EVE) are slowly reining in Manc Ederson (MC) in, but clean sheets are less likely in the Merseyside derby than in City at home to Bournemouth. So Mr Ed stays top of the (ugly) tree for another week. 

Check out The (Liver) Birds at the back…

Liverpool left back Robertson has been joined by his opposite flanker Alexander-Arnold, thanks to 25pts in the last two weeks. An assist and a goal topping up the two clean sheets. Much of the pair’s best work was done going forward last season, but Klopp’s slightly more pragmatic approach – plus the arrival of a proper centre back and goalkeeper, of course – has added clean sheets to their FPL appeal. 15 between them so far.

Alonso is still top stopper, despite just the 1pt at Tottenham last weekend. A visit from Fulham on Sunday should set the record straight.  Oh and City’s quiet man Laporte sneaks back in to make up the four. It’s all about sheets with this boy – 8 from 13 matches. Bournemouth at home says 9

Raheem’s 39 Steps to the top…

Sterling (MC) is now the FPL’s most valuable asset. His 39pts – count ‘em, 39... – in the last three weeks has taken him past Hazard (CHE) who’s form has fallen off a Stamford Bridge. Eden has totalled 9ts from the last five matches and is a doubt for the Fulham match.

So you’re better off turning your attention to the Liverpool pair of Mo and Mane, Salah and Sadio. Neither has quite hit the heights of last season yet, but offer a bigger goal threat than Fraser (BOU) and Sigurdsson (EVE), show just miss out. They will save you some FPL dollar though, trading at just £6.2m and £7.4m respectively.

Dial A for Aubameyang…*

A rare blank weekend from Aguero (MC) – only the fourth time Sergio has failed to register a goal or an assist this season. But he has credit in the bank looks the stand out pic according to the fixtures. 

The silver-topped one is joined for the first time by Arsenal’s top gun Aubameyang. His 8 goals so far is solid, but when you look where he has scored them – it looks like he might be a ‘flat-tracker’. Cardiff, Everton, Fulham, Leicester, Palace and Bournemouth… Hmm.

Tottenham will be a tougher nut to crack, but with his mate Lacazette a groin-injury doubt at least he will start at the sharp end.

*As usual, there is a very sophisticated literary thread that runs through this week’s post. However, some of the links are more tenuous (or just plain shit) than others. This is one of them. But the next one is better…

Watch list: Strangers On a Bench**

*See!

If you haven’t got, or can’t get, or don’t fancy any of the above – this lot are handy alternatives. 

GK: Alisson (LIV) – has a tidy run of matches up to Christmas. And.GK: Pickford (EVE) – will save you £0.7m, plus looks value in the next two (at home to WAT & NEW).  
DEF: Walker (MC) – is on the verge. Not enough assists, but plenty of sheets.
MID: Sane (MC) – 34pts in the last three weeks after a slow start.  
FOR: Mitrovic (FUL) – might benefit from the Ranieri bounce. 

Quack quack oops.

Matt Nesbitt

View from the BaDMaN Boot Room - GW 13

Thursday, November 22 2018

 

A bad week for Ryan Giggs. 

His Wales team lost their second game in a row and the fifth of his nine-match reign. He even criticised his own players after the 0-1 humbling by Albania.

Ideal candidate to take over at Man United then…

Another Premier League legend was in the news this week. Nicklas Bendtner has been given a 50-day jail sentence for chinning a taxi driver. 

But ‘jail’ in Denmark actually means you wear a tag around your ankle and have to stay at home while two blond-haired blokes with beards stare at your house from across the road in their Volvo. 

They’re way ahead out there.

And here’s a fact for you… Bentner was at Arsenal for nine years! There were a few loans in there, but that’s longer than Thierry Henry…!

You can use that one. You’re welcome.
 

Goalkeeper

Total Pts

GW 12  Pts

Ederson (MC)

62

2

Defenders

 

 

Alonso (CHE)

86

8

Robertson (LIV)

71

12

Trippier (TOT)

59

1

Rudiger (CHE)

58

5

Midfielders

 

 

Hazard (CHE)

82

3

Sterling (MC)

79

2

Salah (LIV)

75

8

Fraser (BOU)

70

5

Forwards

 

 

Aguero (MC)

80

7

Wilson (BOU)

72

2

 

Rudy Blue

Ooh, a new face in the team! Chelsea’s goal-less draw with Everton didn’t do them a lot of good, with City and Liverpool both winning. But it did mean that big Antonio Rudiger could elbow his way into our Team of the Season. 

Not that a lot of the FPL stratosphere are convinced – just 4.9% are on board. For balance, that’s less than have Leicester’s Pereira in their side and the same as Bournemouth’s Ake. At just £6m, Rudy is a snip people. 

Egor (MC) keeps the No.1 spot despite staining his sheet with kamikaze decisions two weeks running. Liverpool’s Alisson is looming in the rear-view with three clean sheets in his last five.

Top Jocks

In front and to the left, Andy Robertson has had a good couple of weeks. First he takes our Player of the Week award with a dirty dozen points, then helps Scotland top the ‘group of death’ in the Nations League. Aw, c’mon now… it's bantz. You can only beat the pub team in front of you.

The story in midfield is also shaping up to be the story of the Premier League. Scottish playmaker Ryan Fraser - and his team-mates – can no longer be considered to be punching. Bournemouth players are only out-numbered by City and Chelsea now.

Over a quarter of you have picked him ahead of the likes of Moura, Martial and the Silvas. And at £6.2m he is looking a must buy this Black Friday weekend. 

Salah, Sterling and Hazard are probably untouchable in the Top Three positions – although all now trail Chelsea full-back Alonso, if you’re looking for a way to max out your Man City and Chelsea player quotas.

Callum bloody Wilson

Our forwards might take some catching now too. Callum Wilson (BOU) now makes the X1 for over a third of players – and factoring in the slight injury doubts over Arsenal’s front two, plus the debut goal swagger that Callum will bring back from International duty. At £6.8m, Wilson remains the man this weekend.

Sergio (MC), of course, is Sergio. And even if he doesn’t score these days, he’ll set one up – six goals, eight assists so far. If you can, do so.

Watch list: Players on the fringe

If you haven’t got, or can’t get, or don’t fancy any of the above – this lot are handy alternatives. 

GK: Pickford (EV) – Real chance of a second sheet on the bounce v Cardiff.
DEF: Laporte (MC) – Looks a fixture in City’s back line now. That’s a good place to be.
MID: Mane (LIV) – Not the player he was last season, but can’t ignore the numbers. 
FOR: Kane (TOT) – The best goal scorer in the worlds according to Gareth. Joint fourth best in the PL according to the numbers.

Keep it chopped out, yeah?

Matt Nesbitt

Who the hell is Matt Nesbitt?

Punter. Tipster. Collector. Of winnings.

Meet the good boy behind Badman Betting...

World Cup 2010 Prediction Panel with Ruud Gullit and Sky’s Charlotte Jackson

World Cup 2010 Prediction Panel with Ruud Gullit and Sky’s Charlotte Jackson

The planned football career that would allow Matt to spend every afternoon in the bookies was cut mercifully short. So he was able to spend his mornings there too.

But rather than spunk his (sweet) FA pension on a day-tripper to Palookaville, Matt played smart. He watched, he listened. Learned his trade and earned a reputation.

But the bookies don’t like a winner...

First they closed his accounts. Then they tried legal action to shut down his tipping services. Now they employ him.

Matt has been providing winning football advice since 1998. And whether it has been via post, premium rate phone line, email, TV or Twitter – he has always made punters money.

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